Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Iraq elections - Really March 7th?

An NCF member with his finger on the pulse writes: It's still possible the elections could get delayed again past 7 March, although the Americans will be lobbying heavily against it. The Presidency Council (who's parties are likely to loose ground to non-sectarians) may attempt a constitutional coup against Maliki post-Jan 31st.

Iraq's three man Presidency Council are:
  1. Jalal Talabani (the Kurdish President) whose PUK political party is on shaky ground since its poor showing at the Kurdistan parliamentary elections back in the summer of this year (in part because of allegations of corruption).
  2. Tariq al Hashemi (the Sunni Vice President). Ostensibly Al-Hashemi obtained all the concessions he wanted in the bargaining over the elections: a greater political voice for minority Sunnis, equal voting rights for Iraqis living abroad (mostly Sunnis), and a more advantageous distribution of seats in Iraq's expanded 325-seat parliament (15 seats are set aside for religious and ethnic minorities traditionally allied to the Sunnis such as Christians and Turkomen).
  3. Adel Abdul-Mahdi (the Shiite Vice President). Adel would be the preferred nominee for Premier of the Supreme Islamic Council of Iraq (ISCI) should that Hakim led party have preeminence.
Note that none of the above have any real enduring fondness for Maliki who is trying to model himself as a secular leader whilst retaining his Islamist core vote.

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Jalal Talabani is the best of the three, and I think the Iraqis should seek the best for his country so many bad things happened, thanks for the info

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